24
On The Inlet
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 76
Newbury · Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 0y
#26
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#26
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Salisbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Newbury | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish25th of 3017% of fieldRange 8-30 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 25th of 30.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 17/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/09/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |