Parlando
7yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 86
Newbury · Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 0y
#13
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 30.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.04 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |