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30

The Golden Snitch

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 72

Newbury · Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 0y

#29

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#29

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f6y GS 13029/0344 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 19th of 25 · OR - · 1m Goo 13318/0445 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 12920/0554 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 7f16y Goo 133 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 75 par3/074OR 754 @ Sandown 16/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m1f209y Goo 127 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 72 par16/094OR 72projClass-projected finish: 26th of 30
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Sandown46th6th0
2026-07-03Chepstow44th4th0
2026-05-20Kempton57th8th−1
2026-04-18Newbury419th19th0
2026-03-29Doncaster44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0318/0420/053/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish27th of 3010% of fieldRange 1-30 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 27th of 30. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20264th100/10%73%+0.73
18/04/202619th40/10%25%+0.25
20/05/20267th9/276%14%-0.62
03/07/20264th22/10%50%+0.50
16/09/20266th80/10%38%+0.38