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Law Court

3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 86

Newbury · Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a first success at Sandown (1m) in May. Twice runner-up since but he came in last of 6 in handicap at Ascot (1¼m, good to firm) 13 days ago. Weighted to go well if back on song.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 16/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/0825 @ Newbury 28/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 1334 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12917/0443 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1m Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Sandown 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 82 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 82 par28/054OR 823 @ Sandown 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m1f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 87 · 1m Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 87 par30/073OR 873 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m2f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m1f212y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 87 par5/093OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot36th5th+1
2026-08-13Windsor32nd1st+1
2026-07-30Goodwood39th8th+1
2026-06-13Sandown32nd1st+1
2026-05-28Sandown41st1st0
2026-05-16Newbury32nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0816/0530/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20254th6/168%67%-0.02
28/08/20253rd3/184%83%-0.01
17/04/20262nd13/891%88%-0.04
16/05/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
28/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
13/06/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
30/07/20269th11/142%56%+0.13
13/08/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
05/09/20266th7/282%0%-0.82