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Black Dakota

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Newton Abbot · Edmundson Electrical CableTec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 5f 122y

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winning pointer but offered little in a hunter chase/maiden hurdle for Michael Winters in May and was never dangerous for new yard over 19f in June. This trip is more suitable, at least.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m7f Goo 1637/05C8C8 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f80y Goo 16630/05C84 @ Stratford 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f148y Goo 15716/064projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-16Stratford46th6th0
2026-05-30Listowel?4th9th−4
2026-05-07Wexford?5th9th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0530/0516/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +40.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
30/05/20264th28/10%63%+0.63
16/06/20266th28/10%44%+0.44