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Depalma

7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102

Newton Abbot · Edmundson Electrical CableTec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 5f 122y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ex-Irish gelding who was winless in 11 attempts under Rules for Colm Murphy. Acquired by new yard for £20,000 in May and shaped as if ahead of his mark when 3 lengths second of 7 in handicap chase at Bangor (3m) 14 days ago. Back hurdling and can do some damage for his excellent yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 17/05/2024 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 15817/05C8BHA97 @ Galway 08/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 2m2f209y Goo 149 · below its mark08/10/2024 · OR 97 parC8 @ Wexford 28/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 97 · 2m100y Sft 166 · below its mark28/10/2024 · OR 97 par28/10C8OR 97BHA102 @ Punchestown 23/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 102 · 2m3f87y Sft 148 · below its mark23/11/2024 · OR 102 parC8 @ Leopardstown 26/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 101 · 2m Yie 144 · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 101 par26/12C8OR 101BHA101 @ Downpatrick 23/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 101 · 2m2f185y Gd 157 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 101 parBHA100 @ Kilbeggan 11/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 100 · 2m2f160y Gd 168 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 100 par11/07100OR 100BHA97 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 2m Goo 149 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 97 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 101 · 3m30y Gd 159 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 101 par4/094OR 101projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Bangor-on-Dee42nd2nd0
2025-08-06WexfordBHA974th11th−6
2025-07-11KilbegganBHA1008th15th−6
2025-05-23DownpatrickBHA1016th13th−6
2024-12-26Leopardstown?9th13th−4
2024-11-23PunchestownBHA10211th18th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0523/1111/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength74%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20244th9/488%73%-0.15
08/10/20244th12/137%40%+0.03
28/10/20242nd11/486%90%+0.04
23/11/202411th9/153%44%-0.08
26/12/20249th16/116%56%+0.40
23/05/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
11/07/20258th6/168%36%-0.32
06/08/20254th13/266%40%-0.26
04/09/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01