4
Dontcontradictme
6yo Gelding · 11-4
Newton Abbot · Edmundson Electrical CableTec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 5f 122y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-18 | Stratford | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-24 | Worcester | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Market Rasen | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -64.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |