Babs
5yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 105
Newton Abbot · Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Warwick | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Sandown | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-12-07 | Huntingdon | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Stratford | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |