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Fine Thing

5yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 120

Newton Abbot · Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed in Irish points and built on bumper third with success in novice at Uttoxeter. Got the better of the odds-on favourite when following up in a match race at Stratford and she holds obvious claims of completing the hat-trick if coping with the drop in trip (doesn't look short of speed).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 14919/0654 @ Uttoxeter 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m3f207y Gd 15815/0744 @ Stratford 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 2 · OR - · 2m6f7y GF 15420/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Stratford41st1st0
2026-07-15Uttoxeter41st1st0
2026-06-19Market Rasen53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0615/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
15/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
20/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12