3

Kamille Au Kanada

6yo Mare · 11-7

Newton Abbot · Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

First past the post on both starts in points (disqualified first occasion) and showed a fair bit in a couple of bumpers. Completed a simple task on hurdles bow at Plumpton in May and she remains with potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Sandown 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f216y Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS7/0315 @ Plumpton 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 2m1f169y Goo 1506/0454 @ Plumpton 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 2m4f116y Goo 15126/054projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-26Plumpton41st1st0
2026-04-06Plumpton52nd3rd1
2026-03-07Sandown14th0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/036/0426/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend -11.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20264th11/142%67%+0.25
06/04/20262nd11/893%67%-0.26
26/05/20261st1/398%100%+0.02