4
Little Lady Rock
5yo Mare · 11-7
Newton Abbot · Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-04 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 25/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 92% | -0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |