8

Yeld To Call

5yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 102

Newton Abbot · Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong claims on the form she showed when second in 2m Taunton novice in February but well below that level next 2 starts in the spring and yard remains quiet.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 18/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m69y Sft 15418/1242 @ Chepstow 12/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m11y Gd 148 · HIGHER CLASS12/1024 @ Warwick 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 15320/1143 @ Newbury 14/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m69y GS 149 · HIGHER CLASS14/0133 @ Taunton 03/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 104 · 2m104y Hvy 156 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 104 par3/023OR 1044 @ Stratford 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 106 · 2m70y Gd 158 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 106 par19/044OR 106projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19Stratford45th5th0
2026-03-21Kelso2+2
2026-02-03Taunton32nd1st+1
2026-01-14Newbury34th3rd+1
2025-11-20Warwick44th4th0
2025-10-12Chepstow24th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1212/1020/1114/013/0219/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20244th4/179%57%-0.22
12/10/20254th9/153%57%+0.05
20/11/20254th33/10%67%+0.67
14/01/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
03/02/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
19/04/20265th4/179%67%-0.12