3
It's A Breeze
7yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 106
Newton Abbot · Devondale Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 216y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Newton Abbot | 5 | −2 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Fontwell | 5 | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |