3
Broadway Honey
6yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 88
Newton Abbot · Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 3m 1f 170y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Warwick | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Warwick | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hereford | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Ludlow | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Hereford | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |