2

Fiskardo

6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100

Newton Abbot · Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 3m 1f 170y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a Perth bumper on the back of a significant absence in April and made the frame over hurdles and on chase bow since. Likely to stay and open to improvement in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Uttoxeter 09/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Sft 1529/0755 @ Worcester 01/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m Goo 1544 @ Perth 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m47y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS24/0444 @ Ffos Las 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m7f182y GS 156 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Worcester 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS11/0645 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m3f207y Gd 167 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 104 par5 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 102 · 2m7f Gd 166 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 102 par19/085OR 1025 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 2m3f65y Goo 165 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 102 par28/085OR 102projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sedgefield54th4th0
2026-08-19Worcester54th4th0
2026-07-26Uttoxeter54th4th0
2026-06-11Worcester43rd2nd+1
2026-05-20Ffos Las42nd1st+1
2026-04-24Perth41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0720/0519/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20243rd2/189%75%-0.14
01/09/20242nd1/195%75%-0.20
24/04/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
20/05/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
11/06/20263rd3/184%71%-0.13
26/07/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
19/08/20264th9/153%79%+0.26
28/08/20264th11/271%57%-0.14