
Fiskardo
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Newton Abbot · Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 3m 1f 170y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ffos Las | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 01/09/2024 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 79% | +0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |