7
Testflight
9yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 74
Newton Abbot · Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 3m 1f 170y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Exeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |