Bold Endeavour
10yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 123
Newton Abbot · Colin Willcocks Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | 1 | +2 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 1 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-22 | Huntingdon | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Haydock | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 14/03/2024 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/04/2024 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/05/2024 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 09/11/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 74% | +0.16 |
| 09/05/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 7% | +0.02 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |