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6

King Of The Bronx

5yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 108

Newton Abbot · Colin Willcocks Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressed to win a big-field Cork handicap hurdle on final start for Gavin Cromwell last spring. Changed hands for only €10,000 prior to a couple of underwhelming outings on the Flat for Anthony Charlton last summer. Something to prove reverted to hurdles by new handler following 13 months away.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 13.1 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -4.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Galway 28/10/2024 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 64 · 1m3f180y Hvy 136 · below its mark28/10/2024 · OR 64 par28/1064OR 64C8 @ Punchestown 23/11/2024 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR - · 2m148y Sft 154C8 @ Cork 08/12/2024 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR - · 1m7f145y Sft 1548/12C8C8 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2024 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 154BHA94 @ Naas 09/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 94 · 2m7y Sft 152 · below its mark09/03/2025 · OR 94 par9/0394OR 94BHA92 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 92 · 2m Goo 154 · below its mark06/04/2025 · OR 92 parBHA92 @ Cork 21/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 92 · 2m Yie 152 · beat its mark21/04/2025 · OR 92 par21/0492OR 926 @ Windsor 21/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m2f Sft 134 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 64 par5 @ Kempton 19/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m2f219y Sta 136 · below its mark19/08/2025 · OR 62 par19/085OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-19Kempton511th13th−2
2025-07-21Windsor69th13th−3
2025-04-21CorkBHA921st8th−6
2025-04-06FairyhouseBHA925th12th−6
2025-03-09NaasBHA947th15th−6
2024-12-27Leopardstown?11th17th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1027/1221/0419/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/202414th9/153%24%-0.29
23/11/202412th100/10%45%+0.45
08/12/202412th250/10%42%+0.42
27/12/202411th150/10%33%+0.33
09/03/20257th9/153%67%+0.14
06/04/20255th5/174%69%-0.04
21/04/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
21/07/20259th20/10%33%+0.33
19/08/202511th20/10%0%0.00