4

Kom Tu Voudras

6yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 114

Newton Abbot · Colin Willcocks Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Forward-going mare who has won 3 of 6 completed starts for current yard. Things have unfolded favourably for both handicap wins, forging clear of one that went for home too soon at Fontwell last time (third has won since). May prove vulnerable off 5 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 14/09/2023 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Gd 13614/09C5C8 @ Tramore 09/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f73y Yie 153C8 @ Fairyhouse 21/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m4f80y Hvy 15321/11C84 @ Huntingdon 19/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m4f145y Hvy 1604 @ Warwick 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 106 · 2m5f5y Gd 164 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 106 par9/054OR 1064 @ Worcester 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 106 · 2m4f Goo 164 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 106 par4 @ Uttoxeter 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 110 · 2m3f207y Goo 166 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 110 par28/064OR 1104 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 110 · 2m7f70y Gd 168 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 110 par4 @ Fontwell 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 109 · 2m5f164y Gd 163 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 109 par28/084OR 109projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fontwell41st2nd1
2026-08-20Stratford41
2026-07-24Uttoxeter44th5th1
2026-06-28Uttoxeter46th7th1
2026-06-11Worcester41st2nd1
2026-05-09Warwick42nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0919/0228/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength96%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20233rd3/184%82%-0.02
09/10/20253rd5/174%75%+0.01
21/11/202510th11/486%40%-0.46
19/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
09/05/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
11/06/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
28/06/20266th2/189%17%-0.73
24/07/20264th17/255%80%+0.25
28/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18