4

Kom Tu Voudras
6yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 114
Newton Abbot · Colin Willcocks Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Stratford | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Warwick | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2023 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 21/11/2025 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |