7
Top Coeur
5yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 106
Newton Abbot · Colin Willcocks Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Hereford | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |