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My Cullen

6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 93

Newton Abbot · Tony McCarthy Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 216y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who wasted no time getting back on track switched to British soil when 7 lengths second of 5 to Mr Mcwhinny over C&D (good) 11 days ago, racing freely at the head of affairs for much of the way. Meets that rival on 7 lb better terms here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.4
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 21/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 101 · 2m7f Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 101 par21/124OR 101BHA97 @ Clonmel 02/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 97 · 2m7f55y Sft 153 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 97 parBHA95 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 95 · 2m6f160y Gd 163 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 95 par21/0595OR 95BHA95 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 95 · 2m6f28y Goo 154 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 95 parBHA91 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 91 · 2m7f Goo 159 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 91 par17/0791OR 91BHA88 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 88 · 2m4f85y Gd 158 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Tramore 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 90 · 2m5f180y Gd 160 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 90 par14/0890OR 90BHA90 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 90 · 2m3f100y Gd 158 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 90 par5 @ Newton Abbot 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 93 · 2m4f216y Gd 168 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 93 par7/095OR 93projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Newton Abbot52nd2nd0
2026-08-31DownpatrickBHA9012th17th−4
2026-08-14TramoreBHA904th9th−4
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA882nd7th−4
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA915th10th−4
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA9510th15th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1226/0514/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20256th13/266%38%-0.28
02/04/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
21/05/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
26/05/202610th25/10%36%+0.36
17/07/20265th14/126%71%+0.45
24/07/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92
14/08/20264th11/142%75%+0.33
31/08/202612th15/261%21%-0.39
07/09/20262nd7/163%75%+0.12