Rule Me In
7yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 86
Newton Abbot · Tony McCarthy Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 216y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |