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5

Clear Sky

4yo Filly · 11-5 · OR 98

Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y

#11

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 4-y-o. Didn't look short of speed when 7 lengths fourth of 9 in Exeter juvenile run at a stop-start gallop in March, making more impact than previous 2 hurdle starts. Yard's first jumps runner since late-May and needs more again to defy her opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Stratford 30/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 15430/1053 @ Newbury 14/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m69y GS 147 · HIGHER CLASS14/0134 @ Taunton 09/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m104y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS9/0344 @ Exeter 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m161y Gd 147 · HIGHER CLASS22/034projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22Exeter44th3rd+1
2026-03-09Taunton45th4th+1
2026-01-14Newbury34th2nd+2
2025-10-30Stratford59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1014/019/0322/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20259th33/10%33%+0.33
14/01/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
09/03/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
22/03/20264th28/10%63%+0.63