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8

Enziya

4yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 90

Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went the right way on the Flat in Ireland (winner up to 1¾m). Highly tried/no impact in juvenile hurdles last season. Opening mark potentially lenient on his Flat form, though does have an 8-month absence to overcome.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Roscommon 19/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 62 · 1m4f17y Gd 131 · beat its mark19/05/2025 · OR 62 par19/0562OR 62BHA62 @ Limerick 11/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 62 · 1m3f110y Gd 131 · beat its mark11/06/2025 · OR 62 parBHA65 @ Dundalk 12/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m4f Std 123 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 65 par12/0765OR 65BHA65 @ Galway 31/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 65 · 1m4f Sft 124 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 65 parBHA64 @ Tramore 16/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 64 · 1m4f Goo 136 · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 64 par16/0864OR 64BHA66 @ Navan 28/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 66 · 1m6f Yie 137 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 66 par1 @ Wetherby 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS31/1012 @ Sandown 05/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m7f216y Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Ascot 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f157y Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS17/013projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-17Ascot38th6th+2
2025-12-30Taunton4+1
2025-12-05Sandown27th3rd+3
2025-10-31Wetherby15th0th+4
2025-08-28NavanBHA661st3rd−2
2025-08-16TramoreBHA642nd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0531/0731/1017/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20253rd8/158%86%+0.28
11/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
12/07/20255th11/271%69%-0.02
31/07/20257th16/116%65%+0.49
16/08/20252nd9/488%88%-0.01
28/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
31/10/20255th50/10%43%+0.43
05/12/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
17/01/20268th125/10%22%+0.22