3

God Of Fire

6yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 102

Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful performer on the Flat. Remained in top form since making the most of a good opportunity here (2¼m) on comeback. Clear of the rest when 1½-length second to one that ran up to its best at Fontwell last time. Makes appeal for yard operating at 35% strike rate so far in September.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength74%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 15/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 78 · 1m2f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2024 · OR 78 par15/074OR 784 @ Windsor 15/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 86 · 1m2f GF 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2024 · OR 86 par2 @ Kempton 04/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 87 · 1m2f219y Sta 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/11/2024 · OR 87 par4/112OR 873 @ Southwell 14/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m4f14y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/12/2024 · OR 87 par4 @ Plumpton 06/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m7f195y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS6/0444 @ Hereford 22/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m53y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 100 · 2m2f110y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 100 par13/074OR 1005 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 100 · 2m2f140y Gd 164 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Fontwell 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 99 · 2m1f162y Gd 168 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 99 par28/085OR 99projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fontwell52nd2nd0
2026-08-15Market Rasen54th4th0
2026-07-13Newton Abbot41st0th+1
2025-04-22Hereford44th3rd+1
2025-04-06Plumpton42nd1st+1
2024-12-14Southwell39th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0714/1213/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20241st6/492%100%+0.08
15/08/20242nd9/488%90%+0.02
04/11/202410th10/147%31%-0.17
14/12/20249th10/147%0%-0.47
06/04/20252nd9/276%75%-0.01
22/04/20254th7/163%73%+0.10
13/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/08/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
28/08/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09