6
Ocean Heights
9yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 85
Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Stratford | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |