1

Reteti

6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 105

Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Solid placed form prior to opening his account in a Stratford 0-100 last time, finishing 5½ lengths clear of a next-time-out winner. A 5-lb rise may just prevent a follow up in a slightly better race here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 10/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS10/1144 @ Lingfield 27/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Plumpton 15/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f195y GS 157 · HIGHER CLASS15/1244 @ Plumpton 09/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 105 · 1m7f195y Sft 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/02/2026 · OR 105 par5 @ Plumpton 23/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 102 · 1m7f195y Sft 165 · below its mark23/02/2026 · OR 102 par23/025OR 1025 @ Stratford 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 98 · 2m70y Goo 168 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 98 par5 @ Plumpton 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 98 · 1m7f195y Goo 164 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 98 par26/055OR 984 @ Stratford 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 99 · 2m70y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 99 par5 @ Stratford 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 100 · 2m70y GF 168 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 100 par20/085OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Stratford51st1st0
2026-06-29Stratford42nd1st+1
2026-05-26Plumpton53rd3rd0
2026-05-17Stratford52nd2nd0
2026-02-23Plumpton55th5th0
2026-02-09Plumpton44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/119/0226/0520/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength77%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20256th50/10%0%0.00
27/11/20254th150/10%25%+0.25
15/12/20252nd7/163%80%+0.17
09/02/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
23/02/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
17/05/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
26/05/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29
29/06/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
20/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18