2

Son Of Hypnos

9yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 102

Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Versatile performer in Ireland. Decisively capitalised on falling mark to open his account for current yard here (2¼m) last time, not for catching under another attacking ride. Runner-up a winner subsequently, and he's still potentially well treated on the best of his Irish form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA66 @ Galway 09/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 66 · 1m4f Sft 136 · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 66 par9/0966OR 66BHA64 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m4f194y Yie 124 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 64 parBHA61 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 61 · 1m4f46y Sft 121 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 61 par13/1061OR 61BHA63 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 63 · 1m3f175y Hvy 123 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 63 par4 @ Exeter 07/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 108 · 2m161y Goo 160 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 108 par7/044OR 1085 @ Warwick 23/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 105 · 2m3f Gd 168 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 105 par5 @ Worcester 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 100 · 2m Goo 168 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 100 par11/065OR 1005 @ Newton Abbot 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 97 · 2m2f110y Goo 168 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 97 par5 @ Newton Abbot 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 2m2f110y Goo 164 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 94 par22/085OR 94projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newton Abbot51st1st0
2026-07-19Newton Abbot54th4th0
2026-06-11Worcester57th7th0
2026-04-23Warwick57th7th0
2026-04-07Exeter43rd2nd+1
2026-03-17Exeter4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0920/1011/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20259th16/116%53%+0.37
29/09/20259th9/153%33%-0.19
13/10/20253rd12/137%83%+0.46
20/10/20258th11/142%50%+0.08
07/04/20263rd33/10%50%+0.50
23/04/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
11/06/20267th5/174%33%-0.40
19/07/20264th28/10%57%+0.57
22/08/20261st25/10%100%+1.00