Warfleet
6yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 83
Newton Abbot · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Taunton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-03-06 | Fontwell | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2024-12-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/07/2024 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 05/12/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |