5
Bruder
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 63% | -0.20 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |