3
Chips Legacy
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |