2
Classic Richie
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |