7
Housebuilder
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |