8
Lord Ante
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 70
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength1%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/06/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 18/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |