Minister For Magic
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 10/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 17/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 71% | -0.23 |