4
My Boy Rocky
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |