1
Snowname
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
65%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |