6
Starship Discovery
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-10-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |