3
By Her Decree
2yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Presque Isle Debutante Stakes · 6f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |