5

Royal Companion

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 78

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Presque Isle Debutante Stakes · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 11926/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 63 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 63 par16/07C6OR 63C5 @ Colonial Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 77 par29/08C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Colonial Downs?1st1st0
2026-07-16Colonial Downs?1st3rd2
2026-06-26Colonial Downs?4th6th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0616/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +25.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20264th10/382%40%-0.42
16/07/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
29/08/20261st7/491%100%+0.09