Coinage
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 67
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 10/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 13/09/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/10/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 24/11/2025 | 9th | 6/4 | 92% | 11% | -0.81 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |