6
Goodie Goomer
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |