
Regal Kingdom
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 95
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-07-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 09/12/2023 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 02/03/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/04/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/07/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |