5

Regal Kingdom

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 95

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 30/09/2023 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 91 · 1m4f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2023 · OR 91 par30/09C5OR 91C5 @ Fair Grounds 09/12/2023 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/12/2023 · OR 95 parC0 @ Gulfstream 02/03/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f Fas 1162/03C?C5 @ Keeneland 14/04/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 104 · 1m4f Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2024 · OR 104 parC6 @ Delaware Park 07/07/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/07/2024 · OR 103 par7/07C6OR 103C7 @ Laurel Park 03/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 101 parC8 @ Laurel Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 103 par5/06C8OR 103C7 @ Colonial Downs 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 2m2f 156 · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 98 · 1m 123 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 98 par8/08C8OR 98projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Colonial Downs?8th9th1
2026-06-29Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-06-05Laurel Park?5th6th1
2025-10-03Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2024-07-07Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2024-04-14Keeneland?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0914/045/068/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20236th14/126%44%+0.18
09/12/20235th10/147%43%-0.05
02/03/20246th50/10%38%+0.38
14/04/20246th20/10%29%+0.29
07/07/20245th13/266%20%-0.46
03/10/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
05/06/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
29/06/20266th2/189%17%-0.73
08/08/20268th10/147%30%-0.17