7

Starship Empire

9yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 94

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 1m70y Fas 123 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 95 par7/10C8OR 95C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fas 125 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 95 par29/11C8OR 95C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark04/01/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11617/01C7C7 @ Mountaineer 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 99 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 99 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 91 par24/06C7OR 91C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 92 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 1m70y 123 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 92 par24/08C7OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-08-03Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-15Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-01-17Tampa Bay Downs?9th10th1
2026-01-04Tampa Bay Downs?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/104/0124/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength76%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
22/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
29/11/20256th15/261%55%-0.06
04/01/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
17/01/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
15/06/20263rd5/493%60%-0.33
24/06/20264th5/287%57%-0.30
03/08/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06
24/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09