6
Going Up
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 98
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Power By Far Stakes · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 04/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/7 | 99% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |