2
Hurricanes Ablowin
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Power By Far Stakes · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 16/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |