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4

John Dutton

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 106

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Power By Far Stakes · 6f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark21/05/2025 · OR 97 par21/05C5OR 97C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark25/06/2025 · OR 98 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 103 · 1m70y Fas 119 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 103 par21/07C5OR 103C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 98 · 6f 123 · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 98 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 98 · 6f 125 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 98 par2/10C6OR 98C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 99 · 6f 123 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 99 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 104 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 104 par26/12C7OR 104C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 101 · 6f 123 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 103 · 6f 123 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 103 par7/09C6OR 103projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-07-28Presque Isle Downs?3rd4th−1
2025-12-26Tampa Bay Downs?4th6th−2
2025-10-23Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2025-10-02Presque Isle Downs?3rd4th−1
2025-09-09Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/059/0926/127/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
25/06/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
21/07/20253rd9/276%50%-0.26
09/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
02/10/20253rd15/890%50%-0.40
23/10/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
26/12/20254th11/271%50%-0.21
28/07/20263rd7/282%50%-0.32
07/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12