7

Buck's Howl
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-11-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |