4
Billie Baby
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 48
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-04-07 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Remington Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 25/11/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/12/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |