8
Scattered Mischief
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Lone Star | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Lone Star | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |